T\u00fcrkiye, giderek ak\u0131l almaz hale gelen i\u00e7 siyaset tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131yla me\u015fgul oladursun, kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerdeki\u00a0 huzursuzluk, korkutucu boyutlara ula\u015fmakta.\u00a0 Saddam H\u00fcseyin\u2019in memleketi Tikrit\u2019in denetimi i\u00e7in verilmekte olan \u00a0m\u00fccadele, sadece Orta Do\u011fu i\u00e7in de\u011fil, T\u00fcrkiye de dahil t\u00fcm b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in belirleyici olacak, uzun erimli sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furacak. Biraz daha uza\u011fa gidince, Yemen\u2019de artan \u015fiddet ve karga\u015fa ve \u00a0Libya\u2019da giderek derinle\u015fen istikrars\u0131zl\u0131kla, b\u00f6lge, her an patlamaya haz\u0131r bekliyor.<\/p>\n
N\u00fcfusu a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kla S\u00fcnni olan Tikrit\u2019i I\u015e\u0130D\u2019den geri almay\u0131 hedefleyen \u00a0Irak askeri harekat\u0131, 2 Mart\u2019ta ba\u015flat\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130ran askeri dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6zetiminde Irakl\u0131 \u015eii milislerin \u00f6nderli\u011finde \u00a0ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Zaten varolan mezhep temelindeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n, art\u0131k bundan b\u00f6yle Irakl\u0131 S\u00fcnnilere kar\u015f\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nayak oldu\u011fu bir etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmekte oldu\u011fu endi\u015felerini k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor. \u2018Ter\u00f6r Ordusu I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in \u0130\u00e7inden\u2019 adl\u0131 yeni yay\u0131nlanan kitab\u0131n yazarlar\u0131ndan Hassan Hassan\u2019\u0131n deyi\u015fiyle, sonucu ne olursa olsun, kim kazan\u0131rsa kazans\u0131n, Tikrit, Irak\u2019taki sava\u015f\u0131n gelece\u011fi konusunda canal\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nemde bir role sahip.\u00a0 Bu hafta ba\u015flar\u0131nda Londra\u2019da Avrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi adl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015funda konu\u015fan<\/a> Hassan Hassan, I\u015e\u0130D a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dinamiklerin hala olumlu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Tunus, Libya ve Yemen \u00f6rneklerinde de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, I\u015e\u0130D, Irak ve Suriye\u2019ye ek olarak, b\u00f6lgedeki etki ve deste\u011fini art\u0131rmaya devam ediyor. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi, I\u015e\u0130D, i\u00e7 sava\u015flar\u0131n ve etkisiz hale gelen h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bo\u015fluklar\u0131, \u00a0adeta bir devlet gibi davranarak kapatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor, bu y\u00fczden de kaba kuvvetle denetim sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde zamanla halk\u0131n deste\u011fini kazan\u0131yor. <\/em><\/p>\n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fl\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lerin h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi, Obama y\u00f6netimini Irak politikas\u0131nda ciddi de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe zorlad\u0131 Ba\u015fkan Obama, iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce Amerikan u\u00e7aklar\u0131na Tikrit\u2019i \u00a0bombalamalar\u0131 \u00a0emri \u00a0verdi. <\/em><\/p>\n 46 vatanda\u015f\u0131 \u00a0Musul\u2019daki konsolosluk binas\u0131nda ge\u00e7en Haziran ay\u0131nda rehin al\u0131nan T\u00fcrkiye, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Irak\u2019taki yay\u0131lmac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilk hedeflerinden biriydi. Duruma kay\u0131ts\u0131z kalmas\u0131 beklenemez. <\/em><\/p>\n I\u015e\u0130D\u2019I Tikrit\u2019den \u00e7ekilmeye zorlamak, Musul\u2019u geri alman\u0131n ilk ad\u0131mlar\u0131ndan biri olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Amerikal\u0131lar, bu t\u00fcr bir operasyonda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de yanlar\u0131nda g\u00f6rmek istiyor. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye, \u00a0Tikrit\u2019de sava\u015fa tutu\u015fmaya Kobani\u2019de oldu\u011fundan daha az niyetli. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc TIME dergisine bir m\u00fclakat veren T\u00fcrkiye ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Ahmet Davuto\u011flu, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019le sava\u015fan \u015eii milisleri, en az I\u015e\u0130D kadar tehlikeli g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini s\u00f6yledi. Davuto\u011flu, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019le sava\u015fan \u015eiilerin \u00a0Tikrit ya da Musul\u2019un denetimini ele ge\u00e7irmeleri durumunda bir mezhep sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n patlak verebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. <\/em><\/p>\n