{"id":27876,"date":"2015-11-25T23:20:11","date_gmt":"2015-11-25T23:20:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/uncategorized-tr\/with-miscalculations-on-both-sides-what-chance-is-there-for-russo-turkish-tensions-to-ease-2\/"},"modified":"2015-11-25T23:22:07","modified_gmt":"2015-11-25T23:22:07","slug":"with-miscalculations-on-both-sides-what-chance-is-there-for-russo-turkish-tensions-to-ease","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/tr\/with-miscalculations-on-both-sides-what-chance-is-there-for-russo-turkish-tensions-to-ease\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7ift tarafl\u0131 yanl\u0131\u015f hesaplar, T\u00fcrkiye-Rusya gerginli\u011fini nereye g\u00f6t\u00fcrecek?"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir Rus sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesiyle t\u0131rmanan T\u00fcrkiye-Rusya \u00e7eki\u015fmesinin k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde atlat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na dair bir iyimserlikten s\u00f6zetmek giderek zorla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bunun, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 Rusya ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki en ciddi gerginlik oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok. Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya ili\u015fkilerinin \u00e7ok \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ecek \u00f6nemde \u00a0ve uzun erimli olacak.<\/p>\n

Krize giden yolda, hem Rusya hem T\u00fcrkiye, \u00a0ciddi yanl\u0131\u015f hesaplar yapt\u0131lar. \u015eimdi, gerginli\u011fi azaltma \u00e7abalar\u0131nda da kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 benzer yanl\u0131\u015f hesaplara tan\u0131k oluyoruz.<\/p>\n

Taraflar aras\u0131nda kazara bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 tehlikesi, Rusya, Suriye\u2019deki i\u00e7 sava\u015fa m\u00fcdahil olmaya karar verdi\u011finden beri zaten korkulan bir olas\u0131l\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rus u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 ihlal etti\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan daha \u00f6nce de a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f, hem NATO, hem de T\u00fcrkiye Rusya\u2019y\u0131 bu konuda uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rusya, Suriye\u2019de ya\u015fayan T\u00fcrkmenlerin bulundu\u011fu, s\u0131n\u0131ra yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelere yo\u011fun bir sald\u0131r\u0131 ba\u015flatarak, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Suriye politikas\u0131n\u0131 iyice \u00e7\u0131kmaza sokunca, Ankara\u2019da alarm zilleri \u00e7ald\u0131. Rusya b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi, ge\u00e7en hafta d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131l\u0131p, \u00e7\u0131kabilecek ciddi sonu\u00e7lar konusunda uyar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rusya, uyar\u0131y\u0131 ya ciddiye almad\u0131 ya da umursamad\u0131. Belki de Paris katliam\u0131 sonras\u0131nda y\u00fckselen I\u015e\u0130D kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 dalgayla, radikal \u0130slamc\u0131 militanlar\u0131 hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti\u011fi operasyonlar\u0131n yarataca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6fkeyi atlatabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ilk yanl\u0131\u015f hesab\u0131, ahlaki \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck iddias\u0131nda olan taraf\u0131n sadece kendisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kavrayamamak oldu.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, Rus u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n be\u015f dakika i\u00e7inde 10 defa uyar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ondan sonra vuruldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Hava ihlali, saniyeler s\u00fcrd\u00fc ama bu defa T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tepkisi \u00f6ncekilerden farkl\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye yetkilileri, Rus u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131na yap\u0131lan uyar\u0131lar\u0131n ve radarlar\u0131n\u0131n kay\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131nlad\u0131lar. Rusya\u2019dan benzer bir\u00a0 delil gelmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 hukuk kurallar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde hareket etti\u011fini varsay\u0131yoruz. Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 reddediyor ve herhangi bir ihlal s\u00f6zkonusu olsa bile bunun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 bir tehdit olu\u015fturmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyor.<\/p>\n

Rusya, belli ki, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin teti\u011fe basmaya haz\u0131r olabilece\u011fini de tahmin edemedi. Daha da \u00f6nemlisi, NATO \u00fcyesi bir \u00fclkenin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 ihlal etmenin olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 da her nedense g\u00f6zard\u0131 etti.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, NATO b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ilerini Kuzey Atlantik Konseyinin ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise, Vladimir Putin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rm\u0131\u015f gibiydi.<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiye, bu olay\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmak i\u00e7in NATO m\u00fcttefiklerini \u00a0\u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131. Sanki u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren onlar de\u011fil, sanki onlar\u0131n u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u201d dedi ve ekledi: \u201cNe istiyorlar, NATO\u2019yu I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in hizmetine mi sunacaklar? \u201c<\/p>\n

Belki de Putin, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n, \u00fclkesindeki her sorunun alt\u0131nda Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeleri ve onlar\u0131n lobilerini bulmas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlad\u0131.\u00a0 Kimbilir belki de, T\u00fcrkiye cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n \u2018biz de \u00a0\u015eanghay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcne kat\u0131lal\u0131m\u2019 demesini \u00a0fazlas\u0131yla ciddiye ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Amerika Birle\u015fi Devletleri ve NATO, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 destekleyerek, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 ve egemenli\u011fini koruma hakk\u0131 oldu\u011funu bildirdiler.\u00a0 Kapal\u0131 kap\u0131lar ard\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin eylemini sorgulad\u0131lar belki ama kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yle ittifak i\u00e7inde ve yan\u0131nda durduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemekten ba\u015fka bir se\u00e7enekleri oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenleri ciddi \u015fekilde yan\u0131ltt\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

Yan yana, el ele durdular durmas\u0131na ama hem T\u00fcrkiye, hem de m\u00fcttefikleri, gerginli\u011fi t\u0131rmand\u0131rman\u0131n ne gibi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da gayet iyi fark\u0131ndayd\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri, NATO ve Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler, hep bir a\u011f\u0131zdan taraflar\u0131 itidalli davranmaya ve gerginli\u011fi t\u0131rmand\u0131rmamaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131. Ankara da bu mesaj\u0131 fazlas\u0131yla ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belli etti.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 koruma hakk\u0131n\u0131 savunan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya ile bir gerginlik istemedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ard\u0131ndan da parti grup toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan Ba\u015fbakan Ahmet Davuto\u011flu, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 dost ve kom\u015fu \u00fclke olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131.\u00a0 B\u00fcy\u00fck devletler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin ileti\u015fim kazalar\u0131na feda edilemeyece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131, Rus mevkida\u015f\u0131n\u0131 telefonla aray\u0131p, \u00fcz\u00fcnt\u00fclerini dile getirdi. Bakanl\u0131k, daha sonra yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, her iki \u00fclke d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde biraraya gelerek kouyu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015feceklerini bildirdi.<\/p>\n

Bunun da k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde bir ba\u015fka yanl\u0131\u015f hesap oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rusya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, b\u00f6yle bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme karar\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemekle kalmad\u0131, resmi Rus a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, her ge\u00e7en saat daha da sert ve sald\u0131rgan bir \u00fcslup ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, uzla\u015fmac\u0131 ve yumu\u015fak bir dil kulland\u0131k\u00e7a, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ses tonu da ters y\u00f6nde sertle\u015fmeye, sald\u0131rganla\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7i Rusya D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Lavrov, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 bir sava\u015f ba\u015flatmayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti ama Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ili\u015fkilerde yeni bir sayfa a\u00e7ma gibi bir niyeti olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da g\u00fcn gibi ortada.<\/p>\n

Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Suriye\u2019ye geli\u015fmi\u015f f\u00fcze sistemleri g\u00f6nderdi\u011fini bildiririken, ekonomi alan\u0131nda da tepkisel ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmaya ba\u015fland\u0131 bile. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn can damarlar\u0131ndan biri olan Rus turistlere, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gitmemeleri s\u00f6ylendi. Beyaz et ticareti durduruldu. Ba\u015fbakan Dimitri Medyedev\u2019in a\u011fz\u0131ndan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yle \u00f6nemli baz\u0131 projelerin iptal edilmesi ve T\u00fcrk \u015firketlerinin Rus pazar\u0131na sokulmamas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirildi.<\/p>\n

Beklenebilece\u011fi gibi, Moskova\u2019daki T\u00fcrkye b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi, Rus milliyet\u00e7ilerin sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131. T\u00fcrk milliyet\u00e7ilerin birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce \u0130stanbul\u2019da yapt\u0131klar\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 olarak, Rus protestocular, yanl\u0131\u015f kap\u0131 \u00e7almad\u0131lar, T\u00fcrk el\u00e7ili\u011finin camlar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131p, yumurtalar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fru hedefe f\u0131rlatt\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar olurken, Rus ve Suriye birlikleri, T\u00fcrk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n T\u00fcrkmen b\u00f6lgelerinde yo\u011fun bir bombard\u0131man ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdiler. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den giden bir yard\u0131m konvoyu da vurulan hedefler aras\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Vladimir Putin\u2019in \u00f6fkeli tepkisinin nas\u0131l bir y\u00f6n izleyebilece\u011fini hala merak edenler varsa, Rus cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye yetkilileri dostlu\u011fu teyid ettikleri s\u0131rada s\u00f6ylediklerine bakmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriririm.<\/p>\n

\u201cProblem, \u00e7ok daha derinlere uzan\u0131yor\u201d dedi Putin, \u201c T\u00fcrk liderlerin \u00fclkelerini bilin\u00e7li olarak \u0130slamc\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma \u00e7abalar\u0131na bir s\u00fcredir zaten tan\u0131k olunuyorduk\u201d.<\/p>\n

Pandora\u2019n\u0131n Kutu\u2019su ger\u00e7ekten de a\u00e7\u0131lmak \u00fczere.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir Rus sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesiyle t\u0131rmanan T\u00fcrkiye-Rusya \u00e7eki\u015fmesinin k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde atlat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na dair bir iyimserlikten s\u00f6zetmek giderek zorla\u015f\u0131yor. Bunun, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 Rusya ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki en ciddi gerginlik oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok. Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya ili\u015fkilerinin \u00e7ok \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ecek \u00f6nemde \u00a0ve uzun erimli olacak. Krize giden yolda, hem Rusya hem T\u00fcrkiye, \u00a0ciddi yanl\u0131\u015f […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[4],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27876"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27876"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27876\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27878,"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27876\/revisions\/27878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.firdevstalkturkey.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}